Indiana (15-3) is favored by just 3 points at Nebraska (9-8) tonight. I know IU has struggled lately (3-3 in conference play) -- and I include their win at Penn State when I say "struggled" since they would have lost that game but for hitting nearly 20 three-pointers -- but they are too damn talented to lose to this Nebraska squad, and I don't care that it's being played in Lincoln.
The Cornhuskers have lost 5 of their last 6, with the only win coming at the expense of -- who else? -- Penn State. Wisconsin won in Lincoln by 24, Michigan State beat them by 13, and let me add that a putrid Wake Forest team won there earlier this year by a few points, as well. The home-court advantage is so strong in Lincoln that they were able to pummel Florida Gulf Coast by 1 (51-50). Recently, the 'Huskers lost by 5 at both Illinois and Wisconsin, so perhaps that's the root of this problem. Something tells me, however, that the Illini and Badgers didn't take them seriously, especially Wisconsin since they had just beaten Nebraska by 24 points in Madison.
Sigh. I've been doing this long enough (since '97, to be exact) to know a trap line when I see one. I know how conference road games go, and to generally avoid road favorites in conference play. Most books written on sports betting will dictate that you stay away from this one. Blah blah blah. Someone needs to talk me out of hammering the Hoosiers tonight, going against everything I know about this little "hobby" known as sports betting.
The decision whether to click "submit wager" -- and to be clear, I'm looking at the money line (IU just has to win the damn game) -- or not will haunt me all day. If I don't bet it, IU will certainly house these bums, and I will txt Old Man relentlessly with things like, "I f**kin' knew it! This sucks! Why didn't you make me bet this game?! This line was a JOKE!" And if it's tight, or IU loses to these jokers, I will tell myself (yelling), "I knew it! I told myself all day to stay away from this trap line! I've been doing this long enough to know it was a bullsh*t line but I fell for it, hook, line, and sinker! I'm done betting IU forever!!" It'll likely stress me out more than a chick staring at that dress in her closet that she has 3 days and 5 pounds to lose before fitting into prior to the big day.
I'm a mess.
9 comments:
Word is that Nebraska has gotten a couple guys back from injury that were projected starters. That certainly weighed into their awful start and they have generally been competitive since getting them back.
Also the confirmed word is that IU has decided to quit rebounding on the defensive end and is determined to allow every team it plays to get multiple chances on every possession. If I don't see some serious effort to GET A FREAKING BODY ON SOMEBODY when shots go off on the defensive end than I am going to quit this team. Seriously---f*ing rebound! It is about effort, not talent, and the Hoosiers have shown none of the former and little of the latter the past two games.
That said; you have to jump all over this line, right?
I'm on board!
Roster breakdown:
First off, Nebraska has 17 players, which is ridiculous. All but 2 are listed as "G" or "C" - what happened to the "forward" position? 5 guys are 6'10" or taller, including a dude from Sao Paulo who weighs 310lbs. Is DeAndre "Donut" Thomas still active for the Hoosiers?!
Bo Spencer -- I know this guy from his LSU days -- is their leading scorer and arguably their best player, averaging 14 ppg. Their leading rebounder averages 5.4, followed by 4.8 and 4.7 from two unnamed jokers.
Tony McCray shoots 39% from downtown, and the aforementioned Spencer hits at a 31% clip. Note to IU - guard those guys.
Note to IU: Please lose.....I hate you!!
Submit that wager!
Just wait for my 25 star Horizon League Thursday night pre NFL conference championship weekend road lock of the night of the week of the month tomorrow
Old Man, you've won 4 in a row, so I know at least 3-4 Twitter followers who actually ARE anxiously awaiting that pick.
If IU loses, the G2 is sending a letter, signed by Ice, Old Man, and ToddFather, to Assembly Hall c/o Tom Crean, and don't think for one second I am joking ....
IU is "back" ... to their losing ways.
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